Guide to the economy

	OCTOBER
	International background and outlook
	The global financial crisis worsened dramatically towards the end of the third quarter, culminating in massive nationalisations and bailout plan proposals . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 1 MB ]

	JUNE
	Is inflation alive again?
	After a remarkable period of low inflation, the past year has seen inflation globally creeping upwards . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 215 KB ]

	FEBRUARY
	The energy constraint
	The possibility of an energy constraint on economic growth emerging has been well documented for at least a decade, when a government White Paper famously noted that supply problems . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 276 KB ]

	OCTOBER
	What a US recession might mean for South Africa
	If this occurs, it will be the first serious test of the decoupling theory that holds that other major economies . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 116 KB ]

	JULY
	Balance of payment drivers
	The current deficit remains wide, but its composition is improving . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 691 KB ]

	APRIL
	Is consumer debt worrying?
	The strong rise in debt is causing concern that household finances have become overstretched . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 704 KB ]

	DECEMBER
	How 'constrained' is the economy?
	Economic growth has been very strong in recent years . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 412 KB ]

	SEPTEMBER
	How much further will interest rates rise?
	Globally, interest rates have been on the rise, moving off the lows seen in recent years . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 324 KB ]

	MAY
	Is the widening current account deficit a problem?
	Imports have been growing at a much quicker pace than exports . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 89 KB ]

	JANUARY
	Good prospects for investment
	The Nedbank Capital Expenditure Project Listing shows that fixed investment activity . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 81 KB ]

	NOVEMBER
	Inflation on the rise?
	Globally and domestically inflation is on the way up . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 178 KB ]

	AUGUST
	Is structural change working?
	Economic growth is more buoyant, and inflation and interest rates are at their lowest . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 109 KB ]

	MAY
	Commodity prices: where to now?
	Commodity prices have recently come off their highs after rising dramatically . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 318 KB ]

	DECEMBER
	Is the rand set to remain under R6 to the dollar?
	The collapse of the US dollar has greatly benefited the rand . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 260 KB ]

	SEPTEMBER
	Interest rates – entering uncharted territory?
	The recent interest rate cut is significant as it represents one of two possibilities . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 256 KB ]

	JUNE
	Global environment – trouble ahead?
	The international environment has improved over the past year as growth in the US and China . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 345 KB ]

	JANUARY
	Interest rates – where to now?
	A sudden weakening of the rand has reduced the chances of further monetary easing in the short term . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 286 KB ]

	AUGUST
	The gyrating rand
	The rand's volatility over the past three years has been unprecedented . . .
	To read more download PDF	[ 333 KB ]

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This page was updated on 8 October, 2008	Return to top